Effects of Geopolitical Risks on Countries’ Trade Flows: A Nonlinear ARDL Analysis

نویسندگان

چکیده

In this study, the effects of geopolitical risks (GPR) on countries’ trade flows are examined with nonlinear ARDL method by using data 11 countries for 1993M01 – 2021M08 periods. According to findings, positive GPR shocks reduced exports in Turkey, Russia, China, South Africa, Argentina, and Israel, whereas they imports Israel. Negative increased Mexico, Argentina. It was determined that symmetrical asymmetrical Korea, India, Brazil, Indonesia. Moreover, we find all countries. Increases REER decreased Indonesia, Indonesia Argentina world income countries, increases own national

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Ege Academic Review

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['1303-099X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.1065493